NFL Wins Pool Update
Last updated October 19, 2022
Standings
| Rank | Team | Wins | Remaining Games | Win % | Win % Rank | Projected Wins (FPI) | Projected Rank (FPI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrew Batchelor | 13 | 33 | 72.2% | 1 | 32.0 | 1 |
| 2 | Nick Boucher | 11 | 33 | 61.1% | 2 | 31.5 | 2 |
| 3 | Dan Ellenberger | 9 | 33 | 50.0% | 3 | 23.0 | 8 |
| 3 | Karl Loiseau | 9 | 33 | 50.0% | 3 | 26.6 | 3 |
| 3 | Andrew Moeller | 9 | 33 | 50.0% | 3 | 24.2 | 6 |
| 6 | Mike Thorne | 8 | 33 | 44.4% | 6 | 24.4 | 5 |
| 7 | Steve Creaser | 7 | 34 | 41.2% | 8 | 25.3 | 4 |
| 7 | Matt Hogel | 7 | 35 | 43.8% | 7 | 22.9 | 9 |
| 7 | Luke Phelan | 7 | 34 | 41.2% | 8 | 23.5 | 7 |
| 7 | Gavin Gray | 7 | 33 | 38.9% | 10 | 21.6 | 10 |
- Projected wins taken from ESPN FPI projections.
Expanded Standings
| Team | Wins |
Projected Wins |
Next Opponent |
Win Probability in Next Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Batchelor | ||||
| Buffalo Bills | 5 | 13.7 | BYE | |
| New York Giants | 5 | 9.9 | @ JAK | 0.39 |
| New England Patriots | 3 | 8.4 | CHI | 0.76 |
| Nick Boucher | ||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 6 | 13.9 | BYE | |
| Baltimore Ravens | 3 | 9.8 | CLE | 0.72 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 2 | 7.8 | NYG | 0.61 |
| Andrew Moeller | ||||
| Minnesota Vikings | 5 | 10.7 | BYE | |
| Arizona Cardinals | 2 | 7.3 | NO | 0.57 |
| Washington Commanders | 2 | 6.2 | GB | 0.33 |
| Dan Ellenberger | ||||
| New York Jets | 4 | 9.3 | @ DEN | 0.46 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 3 | 7.7 | BYE | |
| Denver Broncos | 2 | 6.0 | NYJ | 0.54 |
| Karl Loiseau | ||||
| Los Angeles Chargers | 4 | 10.3 | SEA | 0.7 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 3 | 9.2 | KC | 0.39 |
| Cleveland Browns | 2 | 7.1 | @ BAL | 0.28 |
| Mike Thorne | ||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 4 | 11.4 | DET | 0.73 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 3 | 7.9 | @ TEN | 0.41 |
| Carolina Panthers | 1 | 5.1 | TB | 0.17 |
| Gavin Gray | ||||
| Cincinnati Bengals | 3 | 9.6 | ATL | 0.7 |
| New Orleans Saints | 2 | 6.7 | @ ARI | 0.43 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 2 | 5.3 | @ MIA | 0.27 |
| Luke Phelan | ||||
| Green Bay Packers | 3 | 9.8 | @ WAS | 0.67 |
| Miami Dolphins | 3 | 8.8 | PIT | 0.73 |
| Houston Texans | 1 | 4.9 | @ LV | 0.27 |
| Matt Hogel | ||||
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 3 | 10.6 | @ CAR | 0.83 |
| Tennessee Titans | 3 | 7.6 | IND | 0.59 |
| Detroit Lions | 1 | 4.7 | @ DAL | 0.27 |
| Steve Creaser | ||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 4 | 12.3 | @ SF | 0.61 |
| Chicago Bears | 2 | 4.9 | @ NE | 0.24 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 1 | 8.1 | HOU | 0.73 |
- Win probability calculated from covers.com odds
Weekly Head-to-Heads
Leverage measured by:
* Circles to the top right are games between people closest to first place
* Bigger circles indicate games that are more likely to be closely contested
Draft Analysis
| Team | Wins |
Draft Spot |
Expected Wins |
Performance vs. Expectation |
Better Choices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Batchelor | |||||
| Buffalo Bills | 5 | 1 | 6 | -1 | 1 |
| New England Patriots | 3 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| New York Giants | 5 | 27 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Nick Boucher | |||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 3 | 7 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 6 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 2 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| Dan Ellenberger | |||||
| Los Angeles Rams | 3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| Denver Broncos | 2 | 13 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| New York Jets | 4 | 30 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Karl Loiseau | |||||
| Los Angeles Chargers | 4 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 3 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| Cleveland Browns | 2 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| Andrew Moeller | |||||
| Arizona Cardinals | 2 | 10 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 5 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Washington Commanders | 2 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| Mike Thorne | |||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 3 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| Carolina Panthers | 1 | 23 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| Steve Creaser | |||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 4 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 3 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 1 | 16 | 3 | -2 | 12 |
| Chicago Bears | 2 | 29 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Matt Hogel | |||||
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 3 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
| Tennessee Titans | 3 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| Detroit Lions | 1 | 25 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
| Luke Phelan | |||||
| Green Bay Packers | 3 | 5 | 4 | -1 | 6 |
| Miami Dolphins | 3 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| Houston Texans | 1 | 26 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
| Gavin Gray | |||||
| Cincinnati Bengals | 3 | 6 | 4 | -1 | 6 |
| New Orleans Saints | 2 | 19 | 3 | -1 | 5 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 2 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
Draft Results
